Archive for the ‘Retirement Plans’ Category

The Dow is above 13,000: Why should take a deep breath — AND YAWN

Monday, April 30th, 2007

I was recently asked by the host of a radio show who was looking for a guest to talk about what you should do with your investments now that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is at a record high.

Here was my answer:

The only advice I would have to someone now that the DJIA is above 13,000 would be to recheck your portfolio and rebalance it if necessary. The DJIA being at a record should really be a non-event just like the plunge in late February should have been a non-event.
Taking action because the Dow has hit a certain number may make great entertainment but not great investment advice.

I hope you do not succumb to all of the investment hype out there, positive or negative.

Why some of you may not want to Rollover your 401k into an IRA

Thursday, April 5th, 2007

For years, I have told my clients regardless of income to rollover their 401k plan into an IRA when they change jobs.

Main Advantages to Rolling Over Your 401k Plan to an IRA:

  • Consolidates all of your retirement assets in one place (especially if you have several jobs all with 401k plans)
  • You control your investments especially important if your old employer had poor investment choices in their plan

Now for some higher income earners you may be better off keeping the money in your old plan or rolling directly to your new employers plan.

Here’s why:

  • Beginning in 2010 the $100,000 income limit to convert a Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA is lifted.
  • But if you do convert your Traditional IRA to a Roth all of your Traditional IRAs are treated as one IRA for the purposes of conversion. If you have a large Rollover IRA with no basis, and a smaller Traditional IRA that no made non-deductible contributions to they will be treated as one IRA and you will have to pay tax on most of the conversion.
  • If you don’t rollover your 401k to a IRA the only Traditional IRA you would have is the one you made non-deductible contributions to.  When you convert to a Roth IRA you would only pay taxes on the earnings of your Traditional IRA.

Example 1:

Jane has a 401k worth $200,000 and a Traditional IRA that she made non-deductible contributions to of $20,000.  She rolls the 401k into a Traditional IRA so now she has:

Rollover IRA $200,000 (Basis = 0) All of her 401k contributions were tax deductible

Traditional IRA $20,000 (Basis = $18,000) Non-deductible contributions =$18,000, earnings = $2,000

She decides to convert $20,000 to a Roth IRA in 2010.

Since all of her IRAs are added together for the purpose of conversions $18,000 of the conversion will come from her Rollover IRA and $2,000 will come from her Traditional IRA.

Assume Jane is in the 25% tax bracket.

Taxes = $18,000 X 25% (Rollover IRA) + $2,000 X 10% (portion of Traditional IRA that is taxable) X 25% = $4,500+50 or $4,550

Example 2:

Jane does not rollover her 401k into a Rollover IRA but either leaves it in her old employer plan or rolls it into her new employer plan.  Therefore she only has her Traditional IRA

She decides to convert her $20,000 Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA

Taxes = $20,000 X 10% (Portion of Traditional IRA that is taxable) X 25% =

$500

By not rolling over her 401k into an IRA Jane would save over $4,000 in taxes.

Small Employers — How Can You Find a Great Low Cost 401k or 403b Plan

Monday, March 26th, 2007

In my last blog I discussed how a high cost retirement plan can cost employees a significant amount of their retirement savings.  So what if you are responsible for the retirement plan at your organization — What questions do you need to ask to find a low cost plan that won’t saddle your employees with hidden fees?

1.  What is the total cost of this plan including administrative fees, advisor fees (also known as ‘wrap-fee’ or asset management fee), and mutual fund fees?

Most employers look at administrative fees only.  In the long-term the asset based advisor and mutual fund fees will comprise the vast majority of the costs.  Most of these fees are hidden in that they are taken from the investment returns — most employees never know they are paying them.  In general the fewer and lower the asset based fees in the plan the lower the overall cost to employees in the long-run.

2.  Are there a wide variety of asset classes represented in the investment options?

Often employers get confused between the number of funds and the number of asset classes.  A plan could have 20 different investment options from a variety of mutual fund companies but if all invest in large domestic companies the plan does not have diversification among asset classes.

Some key asset classes a plan should include are: Large Company Domestic Stock, Mid/Small Company Domestic Stock, International Stock, Bonds, Cash, and Real Estate.  It is not necessary to include a large number of funds in the plan to achieve this goal.  Nor is it necessary to have funds from multiple mutual fund companies.

3. Are your investment choices too complex?

In order to cover themselves and to offer a lot of choices, many plans are way to complex for most employees.  Research on human behavior indicates that when presented with a large number of choices people will choose nothing or put everything in an investment that they understand.

The best 401k and 403b plans have very, very few choices.  Reducing complexity through the reduction of the number of fund choices makes it easier for the employees to see the big picture and will increase the likelihood that they will invest in multiple asset classes.

The US Government defined contribution plan consists of only four (4)main investment options :US Stock Index Fund (Large/Mid/Small Domestic Stock), International Stock Index Fund (International Stock), Bond Index Fund (Bonds), Money Market (Cash).  I think this plan is almost ideal.  The only option I would add would be a Real Estate Index Fund.

Having a few investment options may upset the employees who like to “play the market” by trading in their retirement accounts frequently; however , this is not the purpose of the plan and reducing the number of choices will likely improve the investment choices of most employees.

4. What are the motivations and interests of the person who is advising you about your plan?

Many plan advisors are employees of an insurance company, stock brokerage, or mutual fund company.  All of these people have a fundamental conflict of interest with you.  They get compensated for selling you something so the advice that they provide you may not be objective.  They may also neglect to explain all of the hidden costs involved with any investment recommendations they make. Many of the “free” services they provide come with a high long-term cost.

5. What type of fund is best for a retirement plan?

I almost always recommend that the plan choices be comprised of index funds.  The major advantage of index funds is their low cost.  The annual fee on an index fund may be over 1% less than a comparable non-index or actively managed fund. Since there is no difference in long-term performance between index and actively managed funds in almost all asset classes, the lower fees add up to higher returns in the long run.

6.  How do you find people to help evaluate your current plan or set up a new one?

Hire an independent Fee-Only advisor to do the following:

- Evaluate your current plan (including all costs)

- And/or make investment recommendations for your current or new plan

- Write an investment policy statement for your plan

- Try and find an advisor who will work for an hourly or flat fee vs % of the assets managed.

- Provide employee education sessions to help them make good investment choices

Hire a plan administrator that: (this is the company that get the employee contributions and make sure they are invested as desired, they also work with you on compliance issues, and provide a website for the employees to see their balances and change their investment allocations.  In bundled plans both the advisor and administrator role are handled by one company)

- Charges a flat or per-employee fee vs. an asset management fee

- Offers low cost index funds as investment options

- Your plan advisor may be able to recommend a plan administrator

How a bad Employer Retirement Plan Can Cost You — Big Time (Part 1)

Friday, March 16th, 2007

No, this is not another Enron, WorldCom, or other corporate scandal but a perfectly legal way that many 401(k) and 403(b) plan advisors and administrators charge excessive fees that can cost the plan participants a big chunk of their retirement savings. The real shame is most employers and plan participants never realize what has happened or how much it has cost them.

In the beginning . . .

In 2003 the 403(b) plan at a non-profit organization I volunteered for was typical of high cost plans. It was invested in variable annuities sponsored by a large insurance company. Many of the employees suspected the plan might be costing them a lot of money but did not know how.

How High Are the Fees

They were right. According to Morningstar the average variable annuity has an annual fee of 2.08%. This fee does not include any one-time sales charges known as loads of up to 5.75% that many funds in charge, or additional annual fees of up to 1% or more charged by the plan advisor.

These fees significantly reduce the overall investment return to the plan participants. In the example above, if the underlying investments in the plan returned 9% and the total fees were 3.08% the participants would receive a return of 5.92%. In addition, the fees would not be disclosed on the statements provided to plan participants. This insidious practice is very common in employer sponsored retirement plans.

What does this mean to the average participant?

If a particiapant invested $10,000/year (adjusted for inflation) for 40 years with a 9% return (before fees), she would accumulate approximately $2,400,000 but pay fees of almost $875,000, assuming an annual annuity fee of 2.08% and an additional advisor fee of 1%.

Contrast this dismal example with a plan composed of low-cost index funds with an annual fee of 0.25% in which the plan advisor and plan administrator charge a flat fee which is not based on the assets in the plan. For an organization with 100 employees, this could be around $13,000/year. In this case, the employee would have almost $4,800,000 and paid total fees of only $120,000.

In the variable annuity plan the participant would only have accumulated half of the retirement assets that she would have in the low-cost index fund plan.

Click below to see a graph of estimated retirement savings
Retirement Savings Comparison

Next Blog — Part 2: How do “Bad” investment options end up your retirement plan?

Find out more about low cost 401k and 403b plans

The Stock Market Went Down on Feb 27 and I Hope You Don’t Care

Wednesday, February 28th, 2007

It was the top headline on the evening news on Feb 27.  “The Dow Jones Industrials Index Declined by 416 Points” Based on the coverage of the story one would have thought that the world was coming to an end and that people should be jumping off buildings because their retirement savings were in jeopardy.

Here is why the events of Feb 27 should not be of concern:

1.  If you are many years from retirement and have a good asset allocation the day-to-day gyrations of the stock market don’t really matter to you.  You should be much more concerned about where the market is in 20 or 30 years than where it is today.  Long-term stock market trends are much more tied to long-term economic growth.

2. If you are in retirement or close to it, your asset allocation should be such that day-to-day changes in the stock market do not affect your overall retirement portfolio significantly.  For example if you are retired with 25% of your money in stock mutual funds and they decline 3% in a day, that would only be a decline of .75% for your portfolio, perhaps even less if the other assets in your portfolio increase.

So if you were worried about the stock market declines on Tuesday one of two things are happening:

A.  You have an appropriate asset allocation but you let what you hear in the media worry you unnecessarily.

B.  Your asset allocation is not appropriate for you time horizon and risk tolerance and you should have less of your portfolio allocated to stocks.  (e.g. You are 70 have 100% of your retirement portfolio allocated to stocks, but don’t want to lose more than 10% of your portfolio in a given year).

So the next time this happens again, and the media tells you to worry.  Just shut off the TV, put down the newspaper, close your web browser, and RELAX.

Why Index Funds

Wednesday, January 24th, 2007

Earlier this week I was a guest on The Money Show with Bill Moller on a local radio station. The topic was mutual funds and the differences between actively managed, index funds and exchange traded funds.

As my clients know I am a big advocate of index funds and exchange traded funds. Here are the key advantages of an index fund or an exchange traded fund. In a future blog I will discuss which types of index and exchange traded funds I favor.

Low Fees: Most index funds charge management fees of less than 0.5% per year. Actively managed funds often charge fees of about 1.5% year. Over time that difference really affects performance.

Tax Efficiency: Since index funds do not actively change the stocks that they hold they generate much lower capital gains distributions than most actively managed funds. That means that more of the capital gain on an index fund will be deferred and working for you rather than in the pocket of the US Treasury.

No Style Creep: Because of the nature of an index, Index funds cannot change the types of stocks they invest in. For example, an S&P 500 index fund will always invest in Large Cap US based companies. However, actively managed funds sometimes shift their composition (a large cap fund buying small cap stocks) to attempt to improve their performance. This practice makes it difficult for investors to know what type of fund they own.

According to research by Standard and Poors published in the Chicago Tribune, over the last 5 years the S&P 500 Index outperformed 71.4% of actively managed large cap funds, the S&P MidCap Index 400 outperformed 79.7% of mid-cap funds, and the S&P SmallCap 600 Index outperformed 77.5% of small cap funds.

Next:  Money Values

What is a Roth 401k? Should You Contribute to one if you can?

Tuesday, January 16th, 2007

A client recently contacted me because is employer was offering a new retirement plan called a Roth 401k plan.  Below is my best recollection of the conversation:

Client: What the heck is a Roth 401k Plan?

Me: It combines what’s good about a Roth IRA and a 401(k) plan together.

Client: Can you help me out a little more here?  I’m not totally sure what that means.

Me:  OK,  remember with a Roth IRA you don’t get a tax deduction but your money grows tax free, meaning that you don’t pay any tax on it even when you take it out.

Client: Yup, got it.

Me: Well a Roth 401k works the same way, you contributions grow tax-free and there’s no tax when you take the money out. In addition, you are not required withdraw the money as you are with a regular 401k, or Traditional IRA.

Client: But don’t I lose because I no longer get the tax deduction?

Me: You would only lose if tax rates are dramatically lower when you withdraw the money than they are now.  I consider that possibility to be highly unlikely.  With the projected costs of Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid taxes are likely to be higher in the future than they are now unless we are willing to significantly cut benefit levels. Plus because you are not required to take withdrawals from a Roth 401k plan you have both taxable and tax-free income streams in retirement which gives you some ability to manage your tax bill.

Client: Ok, I get the part about the best of the Roth IRA, where does the best of the 401k come in?

Me: Well, with a Roth IRA you can only contribute up to $4,000/year ($5,000 if you are 50 or older), and you can’t contribute at all if you adjusted gross income (AGI) is over $160,000/year (for married filing jointly).  With a Roth 401k you can contribute up to $15,500 in 2007 ($20,500 if you are 50 or older) and there is no income restriction.

Client: Sounds pretty good, I was planning to contribute to it anyway but I wanted to check it out with you first just to make sure there was something bad about it that I didn’t know about.  By the way, when I leave my current employer can I roll my Roth 401k into a Roth IRA?

Me: You got it!  Just as you can roll a regular 401k into a Traditional IRA, you can roll a Roth 401k into a Roth IRA.

Client: Cool.

Quarterly Stock Picking Contests — The Insanity Continues

Wednesday, January 3rd, 2007

My local paper, the Chicago Tribune holds a quarterly stock picking contest where they have four prominently local money managers pick three stocks to recommend and three to avoid during the next quarter.  They also report on the prior quarter’s pick.  This continues the one of the most useless waste of newsprint I have seen.  This contest continues to focus on short-term performance and speculation vs. long-term results.  I’m sure the managers they select do not focus on short-term performance in the mutual funds they manage, at least I hope not.

Now for the most recent results from the last quarter of 2006:

Of the 12 recommended stocks 10 went up.  The median increase was 5.4%.  Of the 12 stocks to avoid 10 went up.  The median increase of the stocks to avoid was 14.4%! This is not the first time the median for the avoid stocks was better than the median performance for the recommended stocks.

In summary:

  • Very smart people
  • Short term stock picking a losers game

I’ll keep track of this periodically and keep you posted on how the expert stock pickers are doing.